{"source":"https://sondage-presidentielle.fr/sondages","licence":"Sondages lus dans les notices de la Commission des sondages et les rapports des instituts ; agrégats et textes Baromètre 2027 sous licence CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/deed.fr), réutilisables avec mention « Baromètre 2027, sondage-presidentielle.fr ».","genereLe":"2026-09-25T10:30:38.905Z","sondages":[{"slug":"cluster17-2026-09-16","url":"https://sondage-presidentielle.fr/sondage/cluster17-2026-09-16","institut":"Cluster17","commanditaire":"Politico","debut":"2026-09-15","fin":"2026-09-16","echantillon":2045,"exprimes":1337,"population":"représentatif de la population française âgée de 18 ans et plus","notice":"https://www.commission-des-sondages.fr/notices/files/notices/2026/septembre/10273-pres-iv-cluster17-politico-24-septembre.pdf","resume":"Cluster17 pour Politico, sondage réalisé du 15 au 16 septembre 2026 auprès de 2 045 personnes, dont 1 337 exprimant une intention de vote. Marine Le Pen recueillerait 31 % des intentions de vote, devant Jean-Luc Mélenchon (19 %) et Édouard Philippe (19 %).","hypotheses":[{"id":"BR+EP+EZ+FRo+JLM+MLP+MT+NA+NDA+RG","tour":"premier","libelle":"Philippe + Glucksmann + Zemmour","exprimes":1337,"scores":[{"id":"MLP","nom":"Marine Le Pen","intentions":30.8,"margeErreur":2.47},{"id":"JLM","nom":"Jean-Luc Mélenchon","intentions":19.1,"margeErreur":2.11},{"id":"EP","nom":"Édouard Philippe","intentions":18.8,"margeErreur":2.09},{"id":"RG","nom":"Raphaël Glucksmann","intentions":11.8,"margeErreur":1.73},{"id":"BR","nom":"Bruno Retailleau","intentions":7.6,"margeErreur":1.42},{"id":"EZ","nom":"Éric Zemmour","intentions":3.5,"margeErreur":0.99},{"id":"NDA","nom":"Nicolas Dupont-Aignan","intentions":3.2,"margeErreur":0.94},{"id":"MT","nom":"Marine Tondelier","intentions":2.6,"margeErreur":0.85},{"id":"FRo","nom":"Fabien Roussel","intentions":2.2,"margeErreur":0.79},{"id":"NA","nom":"Nathalie Arthaud","intentions":0.4,"margeErreur":0.34}]},{"id":"BR+EZ+FRo+GA+JLM+MLP+MT+NA+NDA+RG","tour":"premier","libelle":"Glucksmann + Attal + Zemmour","exprimes":1342,"scores":[{"id":"MLP","nom":"Marine Le Pen","intentions":31,"margeErreur":2.47},{"id":"JLM","nom":"Jean-Luc Mélenchon","intentions":19.8,"margeErreur":2.13},{"id":"RG","nom":"Raphaël Glucksmann","intentions":14,"margeErreur":1.86},{"id":"GA","nom":"Gabriel Attal","intentions":13.4,"margeErreur":1.82},{"id":"BR","nom":"Bruno Retailleau","intentions":9.5,"margeErreur":1.57},{"id":"EZ","nom":"Éric Zemmour","intentions":3.6,"margeErreur":1},{"id":"NDA","nom":"Nicolas Dupont-Aignan","intentions":3.2,"margeErreur":0.94},{"id":"MT","nom":"Marine Tondelier","intentions":2.6,"margeErreur":0.85},{"id":"FRo","nom":"Fabien Roussel","intentions":2.5,"margeErreur":0.84},{"id":"NA","nom":"Nathalie Arthaud","intentions":0.4,"margeErreur":0.34}]},{"id":"BR+DL+EP+FH+FRo+JLM+MLP+MT+NA+NDA","tour":"premier","libelle":"Philippe + Hollande + Lisnard","exprimes":1341,"scores":[{"id":"MLP","nom":"Marine Le Pen","intentions":30.2,"margeErreur":2.46},{"id":"JLM","nom":"Jean-Luc Mélenchon","intentions":19.6,"margeErreur":2.12},{"id":"EP","nom":"Édouard Philippe","intentions":19.4,"margeErreur":2.12},{"id":"BR","nom":"Bruno Retailleau","intentions":7.6,"margeErreur":1.42},{"id":"FH","nom":"François Hollande","intentions":7.4,"margeErreur":1.4},{"id":"DL","nom":"David Lisnard","intentions":5.2,"margeErreur":1.19},{"id":"NDA","nom":"Nicolas Dupont-Aignan","intentions":4,"margeErreur":1.05},{"id":"MT","nom":"Marine Tondelier","intentions":3,"margeErreur":0.91},{"id":"FRo","nom":"Fabien Roussel","intentions":2.9,"margeErreur":0.9},{"id":"NA","nom":"Nathalie Arthaud","intentions":0.7,"margeErreur":0.45}]}]},{"slug":"harris-interactive-2026-09-10","url":"https://sondage-presidentielle.fr/sondage/harris-interactive-2026-09-10","institut":"Harris Interactive","commanditaire":"M6, RTL","debut":"2026-09-08","fin":"2026-09-10","echantillon":2358,"exprimes":1304,"population":"représentatif de la population française âgée de 18 ans et plus","notice":"https://www.commission-des-sondages.fr/notices/files/notices/2026/septembre/10263-pres-iv-toluna-harris-interactive-rtl-14-septembre.pdf","resume":"Harris Interactive pour M6, RTL, sondage réalisé du 8 au 10 septembre 2026 auprès de 2 358 personnes, dont 1 304 exprimant une intention de vote. Marine Le Pen recueillerait 33 % des intentions de vote, devant Jean-Luc Mélenchon (16 %) et Édouard Philippe (14 %). Dans l'hypothèse d'un duel, Marine Le Pen l'emporterait nettement avec 67 % face à Jean-Luc Mélenchon (33 %) (3 duels testés).","hypotheses":[{"id":"BR+EP+EZ+FRo+GA+JLM+MLP+MT+NA+NDA+RG","tour":"premier","libelle":"Philippe + Glucksmann + Attal","exprimes":1339,"scores":[{"id":"MLP","nom":"Marine Le Pen","intentions":33,"margeErreur":2.52},{"id":"JLM","nom":"Jean-Luc Mélenchon","intentions":16,"margeErreur":1.96},{"id":"EP","nom":"Édouard Philippe","intentions":14,"margeErreur":1.86},{"id":"RG","nom":"Raphaël Glucksmann","intentions":9,"margeErreur":1.53},{"id":"GA","nom":"Gabriel Attal","intentions":8,"margeErreur":1.45},{"id":"BR","nom":"Bruno Retailleau","intentions":7,"margeErreur":1.37},{"id":"EZ","nom":"Éric Zemmour","intentions":5,"margeErreur":1.17},{"id":"MT","nom":"Marine Tondelier","intentions":3,"margeErreur":0.91},{"id":"FRo","nom":"Fabien Roussel","intentions":2,"margeErreur":0.75},{"id":"NDA","nom":"Nicolas 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Marine Le Pen recueillerait 32 % des intentions de vote, devant Jean-Luc Mélenchon (16 %) et Édouard Philippe (16 %). Dans l'hypothèse d'un duel, Marine Le Pen l'emporterait nettement avec 67 % face à Jean-Luc Mélenchon (33 %) (2 duels testés).","hypotheses":[{"id":"BR+DL+EP+EZ+FH+FRo+GA+JLM+KB+MLP+MT+NA+NDA","tour":"premier","libelle":"Hollande seul","exprimes":690,"scores":[{"id":"MLP","nom":"Marine Le Pen","intentions":32,"margeErreur":3.48},{"id":"JLM","nom":"Jean-Luc Mélenchon","intentions":16,"margeErreur":2.74},{"id":"EP","nom":"Édouard Philippe","intentions":16,"margeErreur":2.74},{"id":"GA","nom":"Gabriel Attal","intentions":8,"margeErreur":2.02},{"id":"FH","nom":"François Hollande","intentions":7,"margeErreur":1.9},{"id":"BR","nom":"Bruno Retailleau","intentions":7,"margeErreur":1.9},{"id":"FRo","nom":"Fabien Roussel","intentions":3,"margeErreur":1.27},{"id":"MT","nom":"Marine Tondelier","intentions":3,"margeErreur":1.27},{"id":"DL","nom":"David Lisnard","intentions":2,"margeErreur":1.04},{"id":"NDA","nom":"Nicolas Dupont-Aignan","intentions":2,"margeErreur":1.04},{"id":"EZ","nom":"Éric Zemmour","intentions":2,"margeErreur":1.04},{"id":"NA","nom":"Nathalie Arthaud","intentions":1,"margeErreur":0.74},{"id":"KB","nom":"Karim Bouamrane","intentions":1,"margeErreur":0.74}]},{"id":"BR+DL+EP+EZ+FRo+GA+JLM+KB+MLP+MT+NA+NDA+SRo","tour":"premier","libelle":"Royal seul","exprimes":690,"scores":[{"id":"MLP","nom":"Marine Le Pen","intentions":33,"margeErreur":3.51},{"id":"JLM","nom":"Jean-Luc Mélenchon","intentions":17,"margeErreur":2.8},{"id":"EP","nom":"Édouard Philippe","intentions":16,"margeErreur":2.74},{"id":"GA","nom":"Gabriel Attal","intentions":8,"margeErreur":2.02},{"id":"BR","nom":"Bruno Retailleau","intentions":7,"margeErreur":1.9},{"id":"FRo","nom":"Fabien Roussel","intentions":4,"margeErreur":1.46},{"id":"MT","nom":"Marine Tondelier","intentions":3,"margeErreur":1.27},{"id":"SRo","nom":"Ségolène Royal","intentions":3,"margeErreur":1.27},{"id":"NDA","nom":"Nicolas Dupont-Aignan","intentions":3,"margeErreur":1.27},{"id":"DL","nom":"David Lisnard","intentions":2,"margeErreur":1.04},{"id":"EZ","nom":"Éric Zemmour","intentions":2,"margeErreur":1.04},{"id":"NA","nom":"Nathalie Arthaud","intentions":1,"margeErreur":0.74},{"id":"KB","nom":"Karim Bouamrane","intentions":1,"margeErreur":0.74}]},{"id":"BR+DL+EP+EZ+FRo+GA+JLM+KB+MLP+MT+NA+NDA+RG","tour":"premier","libelle":"Glucksmann seul","exprimes":690,"scores":[{"id":"MLP","nom":"Marine Le Pen","intentions":34,"margeErreur":3.53},{"id":"JLM","nom":"Jean-Luc Mélenchon","intentions":17,"margeErreur":2.8},{"id":"EP","nom":"Édouard Philippe","intentions":15,"margeErreur":2.66},{"id":"RG","nom":"Raphaël Glucksmann","intentions":9,"margeErreur":2.14},{"id":"GA","nom":"Gabriel Attal","intentions":7,"margeErreur":1.9},{"id":"BR","nom":"Bruno Retailleau","intentions":7,"margeErreur":1.9},{"id":"MT","nom":"Marine Tondelier","intentions":3,"margeErreur":1.27},{"id":"FRo","nom":"Fabien Roussel","intentions":2,"margeErreur":1.04},{"id":"DL","nom":"David Lisnard","intentions":2,"margeErreur":1.04},{"id":"NDA","nom":"Nicolas Dupont-Aignan","intentions":2,"margeErreur":1.04},{"id":"EZ","nom":"Éric Zemmour","intentions":2,"margeErreur":1.04},{"id":"NA","nom":"Nathalie Arthaud","intentions":0.5,"margeErreur":0.53},{"id":"KB","nom":"Karim Bouamrane","intentions":0.5,"margeErreur":0.53}]},{"id":"JLM+MLP","tour":"second","libelle":"Duel Le Pen – Mélenchon","exprimes":690,"scores":[{"id":"MLP","nom":"Marine Le Pen","intentions":67,"margeErreur":3.51},{"id":"JLM","nom":"Jean-Luc Mélenchon","intentions":33,"margeErreur":3.51}]},{"id":"EP+MLP","tour":"second","libelle":"Duel Le Pen – Philippe","exprimes":690,"scores":[{"id":"MLP","nom":"Marine Le Pen","intentions":55,"margeErreur":3.71},{"id":"EP","nom":"Édouard Philippe","intentions":45,"margeErreur":3.71}]}]},{"slug":"ipsos-bva-2026-09-09","url":"https://sondage-presidentielle.fr/sondage/ipsos-bva-2026-09-09","institut":"Ipsos BVA","commanditaire":"CEVIPOF, Le Monde, Fondation Jean Jaurès, Institut Montaigne","debut":"2026-09-03","fin":"2026-09-09","echantillon":13060,"exprimes":8984,"population":"représentatif de la population française âgée de 18 ans et plus","notice":"https://www.commission-des-sondages.fr/notices/files/notices/2026/septembre/10262-pres-enquete-electorale-ipsos-bva-le-monde-13-septembre.pdf","resume":"Ipsos BVA pour CEVIPOF, Le Monde, Fondation Jean Jaurès, Institut Montaigne, sondage réalisé du 3 au 9 septembre 2026 auprès de 13 060 personnes, dont 8 984 exprimant une intention de vote. 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Jordan Bardella recueillerait 32 % des intentions de vote, devant Jean-Luc Mélenchon (14 %) et Édouard Philippe (13 %). Dans l'hypothèse d'un duel, Jordan Bardella l'emporterait nettement avec 68 % face à Jean-Luc Mélenchon (32 %) (6 duels testés).","hypotheses":[{"id":"BR+EP+EZ+FRo+GA+JB+JLM+MT+NA+NDA+RG","tour":"premier","libelle":"Bardella + Philippe + Attal","exprimes":1744,"scores":[{"id":"JB","nom":"Jordan Bardella","intentions":32,"margeErreur":2.19},{"id":"JLM","nom":"Jean-Luc Mélenchon","intentions":14,"margeErreur":1.63},{"id":"EP","nom":"Édouard Philippe","intentions":13,"margeErreur":1.58},{"id":"RG","nom":"Raphaël Glucksmann","intentions":10,"margeErreur":1.41},{"id":"GA","nom":"Gabriel Attal","intentions":9,"margeErreur":1.34},{"id":"BR","nom":"Bruno Retailleau","intentions":8,"margeErreur":1.27},{"id":"EZ","nom":"Éric Zemmour","intentions":5,"margeErreur":1.02},{"id":"FRo","nom":"Fabien Roussel","intentions":3,"margeErreur":0.8},{"id":"MT","nom":"Marine Tondelier","intentions":3,"margeErreur":0.8},{"id":"NDA","nom":"Nicolas 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Jordan Bardella recueillerait 32 % des intentions de vote, devant Édouard Philippe (17 %) et Jean-Luc Mélenchon (16 %). 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Jordan Bardella recueillerait 34 % des intentions de vote, devant Édouard Philippe (19 %) et Jean-Luc Mélenchon (12 %).","hypotheses":[{"id":"BR+EP+EZ+FRo+JB+JLM+MT+NA+NDA+RG","tour":"premier","libelle":"Bardella + Philippe","exprimes":1725,"scores":[{"id":"JB","nom":"Jordan Bardella","intentions":34,"margeErreur":2.24},{"id":"EP","nom":"Édouard Philippe","intentions":19,"margeErreur":1.85},{"id":"JLM","nom":"Jean-Luc Mélenchon","intentions":12,"margeErreur":1.53},{"id":"RG","nom":"Raphaël Glucksmann","intentions":11,"margeErreur":1.48},{"id":"BR","nom":"Bruno Retailleau","intentions":9,"margeErreur":1.35},{"id":"EZ","nom":"Éric Zemmour","intentions":5,"margeErreur":1.03},{"id":"FRo","nom":"Fabien Roussel","intentions":4,"margeErreur":0.92},{"id":"MT","nom":"Marine Tondelier","intentions":4,"margeErreur":0.92},{"id":"NA","nom":"Nathalie Arthaud","intentions":1,"margeErreur":0.47},{"id":"NDA","nom":"Nicolas Dupont-Aignan","intentions":1,"margeErreur":0.47}]},{"id":"BR+EZ+FRo+GA+JB+JLM+MT+NA+NDA+RG","tour":"premier","libelle":"Bardella + Attal","exprimes":1725,"scores":[{"id":"JB","nom":"Jordan Bardella","intentions":35,"margeErreur":2.25},{"id":"GA","nom":"Gabriel Attal","intentions":14,"margeErreur":1.64},{"id":"JLM","nom":"Jean-Luc Mélenchon","intentions":13,"margeErreur":1.59},{"id":"RG","nom":"Raphaël Glucksmann","intentions":12,"margeErreur":1.53},{"id":"BR","nom":"Bruno Retailleau","intentions":12,"margeErreur":1.53},{"id":"EZ","nom":"Éric Zemmour","intentions":5,"margeErreur":1.03},{"id":"MT","nom":"Marine Tondelier","intentions":4,"margeErreur":0.92},{"id":"FRo","nom":"Fabien Roussel","intentions":3,"margeErreur":0.81},{"id":"NA","nom":"Nathalie Arthaud","intentions":1,"margeErreur":0.47},{"id":"NDA","nom":"Nicolas Dupont-Aignan","intentions":1,"margeErreur":0.47}]},{"id":"BR+EP+EZ+FRo+JLM+MLP+MT+NA+NDA+RG","tour":"premier","libelle":"Le Pen + Philippe","exprimes":1725,"scores":[{"id":"MLP","nom":"Marine Le Pen","intentions":32,"margeErreur":2.2},{"id":"EP","nom":"Édouard Philippe","intentions":19,"margeErreur":1.85},{"id":"JLM","nom":"Jean-Luc Mélenchon","intentions":12,"margeErreur":1.53},{"id":"RG","nom":"Raphaël Glucksmann","intentions":11,"margeErreur":1.48},{"id":"BR","nom":"Bruno Retailleau","intentions":10,"margeErreur":1.42},{"id":"EZ","nom":"Éric Zemmour","intentions":6,"margeErreur":1.12},{"id":"FRo","nom":"Fabien Roussel","intentions":4,"margeErreur":0.92},{"id":"MT","nom":"Marine Tondelier","intentions":4,"margeErreur":0.92},{"id":"NA","nom":"Nathalie Arthaud","intentions":1,"margeErreur":0.47},{"id":"NDA","nom":"Nicolas Dupont-Aignan","intentions":1,"margeErreur":0.47}]},{"id":"BR+EZ+FRo+GA+JLM+MLP+MT+NA+NDA+RG","tour":"premier","libelle":"Le Pen + Attal","exprimes":1725,"scores":[{"id":"MLP","nom":"Marine Le Pen","intentions":33,"margeErreur":2.22},{"id":"GA","nom":"Gabriel Attal","intentions":14,"margeErreur":1.64},{"id":"BR","nom":"Bruno Retailleau","intentions":13,"margeErreur":1.59},{"id":"JLM","nom":"Jean-Luc Mélenchon","intentions":12,"margeErreur":1.53},{"id":"RG","nom":"Raphaël Glucksmann","intentions":12,"margeErreur":1.53},{"id":"EZ","nom":"Éric Zemmour","intentions":5,"margeErreur":1.03},{"id":"FRo","nom":"Fabien Roussel","intentions":4,"margeErreur":0.92},{"id":"MT","nom":"Marine Tondelier","intentions":4,"margeErreur":0.92},{"id":"NDA","nom":"Nicolas Dupont-Aignan","intentions":2,"margeErreur":0.66},{"id":"NA","nom":"Nathalie Arthaud","intentions":1,"margeErreur":0.47}]}]},{"slug":"elabe-2026-03-27","url":"https://sondage-presidentielle.fr/sondage/elabe-2026-03-27","institut":"ELABE","commanditaire":"BFMTV, La Tribune Dimanche","debut":"2026-03-25","fin":"2026-03-27","echantillon":1504,"exprimes":1422,"population":"représentatif des résidents de France métropolitaine âgés de 18 ans et plus","notice":"https://www.commission-des-sondages.fr/notices/medias/fichiers/add/2166","resume":"ELABE pour BFMTV, La Tribune Dimanche, sondage réalisé du 25 au 27 mars 2026 auprès de 1 504 personnes, dont 1 422 exprimant une intention de vote. Jordan Bardella recueillerait 35 % des intentions de vote, devant Édouard Philippe (21 %) et Jean-Luc Mélenchon (11 %). Dans l'hypothèse d'un duel, Jordan Bardella l'emporterait nettement avec 72 % face à Jean-Luc Mélenchon (29 %) (6 duels testés).","hypotheses":[{"id":"BR+DV+EP+EZ+FRo+JB+JLM+MT+NA+NDA+RG","tour":"premier","libelle":"Bardella + Philippe + Glucksmann + Retailleau + Tondelier + Zemmour","exprimes":1422,"scores":[{"id":"JB","nom":"Jordan Bardella","intentions":35,"margeErreur":2.48},{"id":"EP","nom":"Édouard Philippe","intentions":20.5,"margeErreur":2.1},{"id":"JLM","nom":"Jean-Luc Mélenchon","intentions":10.5,"margeErreur":1.59},{"id":"RG","nom":"Raphaël Glucksmann","intentions":10.5,"margeErreur":1.59},{"id":"BR","nom":"Bruno Retailleau","intentions":7,"margeErreur":1.33},{"id":"MT","nom":"Marine Tondelier","intentions":4.5,"margeErreur":1.08},{"id":"FRo","nom":"Fabien Roussel","intentions":3,"margeErreur":0.89},{"id":"DV","nom":"Dominique de Villepin","intentions":3,"margeErreur":0.89},{"id":"EZ","nom":"Éric Zemmour","intentions":3,"margeErreur":0.89},{"id":"NDA","nom":"Nicolas 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Jordan Bardella recueillerait 34 % des intentions de vote, devant Édouard Philippe (21 %) et Jean-Luc Mélenchon (12 %). Dans l'hypothèse d'un duel, Édouard Philippe l'emporterait avec 52 % face à Jordan Bardella (48 %).","hypotheses":[{"id":"BR+EP+FRo+JB+JLM+MT+NA+NDA+RG+SK","tour":"premier","libelle":"Retailleau","exprimes":853,"scores":[{"id":"JB","nom":"Jordan Bardella","intentions":34,"margeErreur":3.18},{"id":"EP","nom":"Édouard Philippe","intentions":21,"margeErreur":2.73},{"id":"JLM","nom":"Jean-Luc Mélenchon","intentions":12,"margeErreur":2.18},{"id":"RG","nom":"Raphaël Glucksmann","intentions":10,"margeErreur":2.01},{"id":"BR","nom":"Bruno Retailleau","intentions":8,"margeErreur":1.82},{"id":"MT","nom":"Marine Tondelier","intentions":5,"margeErreur":1.46},{"id":"SK","nom":"Sarah Knafo","intentions":5,"margeErreur":1.46},{"id":"FRo","nom":"Fabien Roussel","intentions":2,"margeErreur":0.94},{"id":"NDA","nom":"Nicolas Dupont-Aignan","intentions":2,"margeErreur":0.94},{"id":"NA","nom":"Nathalie Arthaud","intentions":1,"margeErreur":0.67}]},{"id":"EP+FRo+JB+JLM+MT+NA+NDA+RG+SK","tour":"premier","libelle":"Sans Retailleau","exprimes":847,"scores":[{"id":"JB","nom":"Jordan Bardella","intentions":38,"margeErreur":3.27},{"id":"EP","nom":"Édouard Philippe","intentions":25,"margeErreur":2.92},{"id":"JLM","nom":"Jean-Luc Mélenchon","intentions":13,"margeErreur":2.26},{"id":"RG","nom":"Raphaël Glucksmann","intentions":10,"margeErreur":2.02},{"id":"SK","nom":"Sarah Knafo","intentions":5,"margeErreur":1.47},{"id":"MT","nom":"Marine Tondelier","intentions":4,"margeErreur":1.32},{"id":"FRo","nom":"Fabien Roussel","intentions":2,"margeErreur":0.94},{"id":"NDA","nom":"Nicolas Dupont-Aignan","intentions":2,"margeErreur":0.94},{"id":"NA","nom":"Nathalie Arthaud","intentions":1,"margeErreur":0.67}]},{"id":"EP+JB","tour":"second","libelle":"Duel Philippe – Bardella","exprimes":812,"scores":[{"id":"EP","nom":"Édouard Philippe","intentions":52,"margeErreur":3.44},{"id":"JB","nom":"Jordan Bardella","intentions":48,"margeErreur":3.44}]}]},{"slug":"opinionway-2026-03-26","url":"https://sondage-presidentielle.fr/sondage/opinionway-2026-03-26","institut":"OpinionWay","commanditaire":"POLLitics","debut":"2026-03-25","fin":"2026-03-26","echantillon":1051,"exprimes":788,"population":"représentatif de la population française âgée de 18 ans et plus","notice":"https://www.commission-des-sondages.fr/notices/medias/fichiers/add/2257","resume":"OpinionWay pour POLLitics, sondage réalisé du 25 au 26 mars 2026 auprès de 1 051 personnes, dont 788 exprimant une intention de vote. 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Jordan Bardella recueillerait 35 % des intentions de vote, devant Édouard Philippe (18 %) et Raphaël Glucksmann (14 %).","hypotheses":[{"id":"BR+EP+EZ+FRo+JB+JLM+MT+NA+NDA+RG","tour":"premier","libelle":"Philippe seul","exprimes":1000,"scores":[{"id":"JB","nom":"Jordan Bardella","intentions":35,"margeErreur":2.96},{"id":"EP","nom":"Édouard Philippe","intentions":18,"margeErreur":2.38},{"id":"RG","nom":"Raphaël Glucksmann","intentions":14,"margeErreur":2.15},{"id":"JLM","nom":"Jean-Luc Mélenchon","intentions":11,"margeErreur":1.94},{"id":"BR","nom":"Bruno Retailleau","intentions":7,"margeErreur":1.58},{"id":"EZ","nom":"Éric Zemmour","intentions":5,"margeErreur":1.35},{"id":"MT","nom":"Marine Tondelier","intentions":4,"margeErreur":1.21},{"id":"FRo","nom":"Fabien Roussel","intentions":3,"margeErreur":1.06},{"id":"NDA","nom":"Nicolas Dupont-Aignan","intentions":2,"margeErreur":0.87},{"id":"NA","nom":"Nathalie Arthaud","intentions":1,"margeErreur":0.62}]},{"id":"BR+EZ+FRo+GA+JB+JLM+MT+NA+NDA+RG","tour":"premier","libelle":"Attal seul","exprimes":1000,"scores":[{"id":"JB","nom":"Jordan Bardella","intentions":36,"margeErreur":2.98},{"id":"RG","nom":"Raphaël Glucksmann","intentions":14,"margeErreur":2.15},{"id":"GA","nom":"Gabriel Attal","intentions":13,"margeErreur":2.08},{"id":"JLM","nom":"Jean-Luc Mélenchon","intentions":11,"margeErreur":1.94},{"id":"BR","nom":"Bruno Retailleau","intentions":10,"margeErreur":1.86},{"id":"MT","nom":"Marine Tondelier","intentions":5,"margeErreur":1.35},{"id":"EZ","nom":"Éric Zemmour","intentions":5,"margeErreur":1.35},{"id":"FRo","nom":"Fabien Roussel","intentions":3,"margeErreur":1.06},{"id":"NDA","nom":"Nicolas Dupont-Aignan","intentions":2,"margeErreur":0.87},{"id":"NA","nom":"Nathalie Arthaud","intentions":1,"margeErreur":0.62}]}]},{"slug":"ifop-2026-02-27","url":"https://sondage-presidentielle.fr/sondage/ifop-2026-02-27","institut":"IFOP","commanditaire":"Sud Radio, Le Figaro","debut":"2026-02-26","fin":"2026-02-27","echantillon":1500,"exprimes":978,"population":"représentatif de la population française âgée de 18 ans et plus","notice":"https://www.commission-des-sondages.fr/notices/medias/fichiers/add/2110","resume":"IFOP pour Sud Radio, Le Figaro, sondage réalisé du 26 au 27 février 2026 auprès de 1 500 personnes, dont 978 exprimant une intention de vote. Jordan Bardella recueillerait 36 % des intentions de vote, devant Édouard Philippe (16 %) et Jean-Luc Mélenchon (11 %).","hypotheses":[{"id":"BR+DV+EP+EZ+FRo+JB+JLM+MT+NA+NDA+RG","tour":"premier","libelle":"Bardella + Philippe + Glucksmann + Retailleau + de Villepin","exprimes":1009,"scores":[{"id":"JB","nom":"Jordan Bardella","intentions":36,"margeErreur":2.96},{"id":"EP","nom":"Édouard Philippe","intentions":16,"margeErreur":2.26},{"id":"JLM","nom":"Jean-Luc Mélenchon","intentions":11,"margeErreur":1.93},{"id":"RG","nom":"Raphaël Glucksmann","intentions":10,"margeErreur":1.85},{"id":"BR","nom":"Bruno Retailleau","intentions":10,"margeErreur":1.85},{"id":"MT","nom":"Marine Tondelier","intentions":4,"margeErreur":1.21},{"id":"EZ","nom":"Éric Zemmour","intentions":4,"margeErreur":1.21},{"id":"DV","nom":"Dominique de Villepin","intentions":3.5,"margeErreur":1.13},{"id":"NDA","nom":"Nicolas Dupont-Aignan","intentions":2.5,"margeErreur":0.96},{"id":"FRo","nom":"Fabien 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